According to the latest reports by India Meteorological Department, the significant weather features are as below :
♦ A Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Pakistan with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height.
♦ The monsoon trough is active and south of its normal position.
♦ An east-west shear zone runs roughly along 19°N in mid tropospheric levels tilting southwards with height across North Peninsular India.
♦ The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from south Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast.
♦ A cyclonic circulation lies over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal off south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh Coasts and extends upto upto upper tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height.
♦ Under their influence;
i) Fairly widespread/widespread rainfall & thunderstorm/lightning with isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat state, Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Karnataka during next 5 days.
a) Isolated very heavy rainfall very likely over Gujarat region during 08th-11th; Saurashtra & Kutch during 07th-09th; Madhya Maharashtra on 10th & 11th; Coastal Karnataka on 09th; Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on 07th, 08th & 11th; Telangana on 07th, 08th & 11th; South Interior Karnataka on 07th & 08th;
West Madhya Pradesh on 07th, 08th & 10th; East Madhya Pradesh on 11th; Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh on 07th & 11th July, 2022.
b) Scattered heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rainfall also likely over Konkan & Goa during next 5 days and isolated extremely heavy rainfall likely over Telangana on 09th; Coastal Karnataka on 07th & 08th; Gujarat Region on 07th; Saurashtra & Kutch on 10th & 11th and over ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra during 07th-09th July, 2022.
ii) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal on 07th and heavy rainfall on 08th July, 2022.
iii) Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad on 08th & 09th and over Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand on 07th & 10th July, 2022.
iv) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand on 08th & 09th July, 2022. Isolated extremely heavy falls also very likely over Uttarakhand on 09th July, 2022.
v) Isolated/scattered rainfall activity with isolated thunderstorm/lightning very likely over East Uttar Pradesh during next 5 days and over West Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh-Delhi and Rajasthan on 07th & 08th and increase thereafter becoming fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity likely over the region during 9th-10th July, 2022:
a) Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Punjab & Haryana, Chandigarh on 07th, 08th & 10th; West Uttar Pradesh during 08th-10th; Rajasthan on 07th, 08th & 10th July, 2022.
b) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over north Punjab & north Haryana, Chandigarh and south Rajasthan on 09th July, 2022.