The Indian Meteorological Department in its latest forecast has warned that East and Northwest India will continue to be in the grip of severe heatwave conditions for the next 3-4 days. Moreover, there is a high chance of heavy rainfall over Northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Sikkim
According to the IMD latest update, heatwave to severe heatwave conditions very likely in some/many parts of Uttar Pradesh during 13th-17th; Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand during 13th-15th and isolated heatwave over Jharkhand on 16th June, 2024.
Heatwave conditions very likely in some pockets of Punjab and Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi during next 5 days with severe heatwave conditions in isolated pockets on 13th, 16th & 17th June.
Heatwave conditions very likely in isolated to some pockets of Himachal Pradesh, Jammu Division, northeast Madhya Pradesh during 13th-16th; northeast Rajasthan on 13th; northwest Madhya Pradesh on 14th & 15th; Uttarakhand, north Chhattisgarh and Odisha on 13th & 14th and northwest Rajasthan on 13th & 17th June, 2024. Warm night conditions very likely in isolated pockets of northeast Madhya Pradesh and West Uttar Pradesh on 13th & 14th June, 2024.
IMD’s warning for heavy rainfall
A cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Assam & neighbourhood and an east-west trough runs from northwest Bihar to Nagaland in lower tropospheric levels. A north-south trough runs roughly along Long. 91°E to the north of Lat. 23°Nin lower & middle tropospheric levels. Strong southwesterly/southerly winds are prevailing from Bay of Bengal to northeastern States in lower tropospheric levels. Under their influence:
Widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (30-40 kmph) likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during next 7 days.
Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh during next 5 days and isolated heavy rainfall over Nagaland during 14th-17th June, 2024.
Isolated extremely heavy rainfall also likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 14th and over Meghalaya on 13th & during 15th-17th June, 2024.
Isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (30-40 kmph) very likely over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha during next 5 days.
Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Odisha on 13th, 14th &17th June, 2024.
Advance of Southwest Monsoon:
The Northern Limit of Monsoon continues to pass through 20.5°N/60°E, 20.5°N/63°E, 20.5°N/70°E, Navsari, Jalgaon, Amravati, Chandrapur, Bijapur, Sukma, Malkangiri, Vizianagaram, 19.5°N/88°E, 21.5°N/89.5°E, 23°N/89.5°E and Islampur.
Conditions are favourable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into some more parts of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & northwest Bay of Bengal during next 3-4 days.
Red Alert Areas (Heatwave): Bihar, Jharkhand on 13th & 14th; East Uttar Pradesh during 13th-15th; West Uttar Pradesh during 13th-16th;
Orange Alert Areas: Gangetic West Bengal on 13th & 14th; Bihar, Jharkhand on 15th; Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Punjab during 13th-17th;
Yellow Alert Areas: Himachal Pradesh, Jammu-Division, northeast Madhya Pradesh during 13th-16th; Uttarakhand, north Chhattisgarh during 13th-14th; northwest Madhya Pradesh on 14th & 15th; northwest Rajasthan on 13th & 17th June, 2024.
